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Nate Silver’s Final Election Model

Wall Street Journal · 3d

Nate Silver’s Final Election Model: ‘Quite Ridiculous’

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not exaggerating.” That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his

Hosted on MSN · 4d

Nate Silver's final forecast: "As close as you can possibly get to 50/50"

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris' 50.

Nate Silver Gives Election Prediction as Favorite To Win Changes

It comes after Silver's Monday forecast showed that Trump was the favorite to win the election, with a 50.4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to Harris's 49.2 percent. The day before, Trump had a 52.6 percent chance of winning to Harris's 47 percent.

2don MSN

How Accurate Was Nate Silver?

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every ...

Hosted on MSN13d

Nate Silver Predicts Path for Kamala Harris to 'Probably' Win Election

Pollster Nate Silver predicted on Saturday a ... 2016 but lost to President Joe Biden in 2020—to win enough electoral ...

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